CONTROL WHERE HAS THE STRATEGY FALTERED ?
The Registrar-General of India recently disclosed the population figures that should frighten us all. By 2016, less than 20 years from now, the population will be 1.26 billion making India the most populous country. If the mass literacy programmes go on at the present dismal pace, half the population will be illiterate and more than 380 million unemployed. To quote Tavleen singh, columnist, "our Country will be reduced to the metaphorical equivalent of a garbage heap crawling with millions of illiterate undernourished, people."
Should we not be demanding a special ministry for population control and a separate education ministry taken away from the amalgam of Human Resource Development? Should not these two Ministries be given the same importance as Defence or External Affairs?
The population and literacy problems are restricted to Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Bihar and Madhya Pradesh. While Kerala and Tamil Nadu have already achieved the target birth rate or 21 per 1,000 the four States will take between 50 and 100 years to achieve it; Bihar in 2039, Rajasthan in 2048, Madhya Pradesh in 2060 and Uttar Pradesh in 2100.
In my research thesis, "Education and Economic Development, I have established the link between education and fertility.
The last census report indicates that illiterate women have the largest number of children [4.4]. A woman who has studied up to class 10 produces an average of three children and for a graduate, the figure goes down to 2.3. In the North , the average rate of womens literacy hovers between 20 and 30 per 100 and could be even lower if the ability to sign oness name alone is not a criterion. Thus even from the developmentr angle, population has a real impact.
On the population policy, the following observations of two demographers deserve mention :
D.Banerji says, "Our family welfare programme should not degenerate into a body snatching sterilization progranme," relying on hitech methods of sterilization and use of money power in the name of motivation. An analysis of the demographic scene and the working of the family planning programmes in the past three decades leads us to believe that we are still on the wrong track. Reeling out figures on targets and achievements, on births averted and harping on the magic number of NRR of unity by 2000 A.D.will not lead us anywhere. There is no short-cut to population stabillisation. Development is indeed the best contraceptive. We must move away from the cold calculus of aggregate numbers and move to people in flesh and blood. Our masses will not let us down if we do not let them down.
The population of a country is both an asset and liability. And hence, its place in the economic development is significant. The empirical evidence of various countries has shown that the population growth of a region and its economic development are closely related.
India has been a victim of population growth. Although the country has achieved progress in the economic field, the population growth has eroded the growth potential. The population nearly quadrupled in 90 years, from 238.3 millions in 1901 to 840 millions in 1991.
The need to check the population growth was realized by a section of the intellectual elite even before independence. Birth control was accepted by this group but implementation was restricted to the Westernised minority in the cities . When the country attained independence and planning was launched, population control became one of the important items on the agenda of development. The draft outline of the First Five Year Plan said, "the increasing pressure of population on natural resources retards economic progress and limits seriously the rate of extension of social services, so essential to civilized existence. A population policy is therefore essential to planning." This policy emphasized three components: fertility, mortality and migration. The policy incorporates programmes for reducing mortality. Even for migration, we have policies. But it is the fertility change which contributes to a spectacular population change.
The First Five Year Plan also emphasized the reduction in fertility and gave it the top slot in the Family Planning Programme. India, in fact was one of the earliest countries to implement a full fledged family planning programme launched by the state. The planning commission called for all steps to promote family planning. It was acknowledged that progress depended on creating a sufficiently strong motivation in favour of family planning in the minds of the people and on providing advice and service through acceptable, efficient, harmless and economic methods. With this end in view, the plan set out these objectives:
In order to achieve these objectives, Rs 15 lakhs was earmarked in the plan and a Research and Programme Committee appointed.
The committee comprised two sub-committees, one on socio-economics and cultural studies and the other on biological and qualitative aspects of population. As many as 126 urban and 21 rural family planning clinics were set up.
The Second Five Year Plan gave an even more prominent place to population assessment. A national programme launched had four main components:
The Third, Fourth and Fifth plans also laid emphasis on the population policy and its implementation through family planning. The expenditure on population control in the Second Plan was Rs. 2.16 crores, in the Third Rs.284 crores and rose to Rs.497 crores in the Fifth.
By family planning, we mean planned parenthood which is nothing but a conscious limitation or spacing of children within the economic limits of the family in order to create happy homes. The programme seeks to promote responsible parenthood, with a two-child norm, through an independent choice of the family planning method best suited to the acceptor.
The important aspects of the programmes are:
First, it is voluntary. It is promoted as a peoples movement in keeping with the democratic traditions of the country. The people should be persuaded and not compelled to adopt the small family norm.
Secondly, in course of time, Family planning became Family Welfare.
Thirdly, various methods of birth control have been advocated by the Government. Mention may be made of sterilization, IUCD,conventional contraceptive, of which Nirodh formed a major part. Free facilities are made available in all health centers.
Fourthly, financial incentives are given for accepting Family planning. These include cash given to the acceptors and an advance increment to government employees.
Fifthly, medical personnel and public health workers have been specifically trained.
The total number of acceptors increased from 7,153 in 1956 to 1,68,30,000. A similar trend can be seen in the case of sterilization, IUCD and CC users. The targets were also achieved during the Eighties. Thus, the family planning programme has done a good job of controlling the population growth. Over 58 million couples [41.9 per cent of those in the reproductive age group15-44] were protected against conception as on March 31, 1989. Consequently the number of deaths averted has been on the increase.
The Medical Termination of Pregnancy Act was passed in 1922 on the basis of the recommendations made by the B.Shantilal Shah committee. An event of great significance is the declaration by the United Nations of 1974 as the World Population Year and the United Nations World Population Conference at Bucharest , Romania. The major theme that emerged from the Bucharest meeting was that population policy and programme must be pursued in the context of development and that population growth and development were integrated. This idea was reflected in the National Population Policy of India , whose important components were:
The sixth plan which incorporated all these features said the population policy should reflect concern for the individual as well as the communitys dignity, needs and aspirations and should be such as would deal with overall development issues and not merely population control. High priority was given to progress involving social restructuring.
Another significant [land] mark is the report of the Panning Commission Working Group on the population policy in 1980. The group laid down a long-term goal of a Need Reproductive Rate [NRR] of one on an average for the whole country by 1996 and in all States by 2001. The group suggested these strategies: (1) Developing the necessary level of demand and (2) Provisions of the supply of services of all kinds needed by the people. The group identified that health care, education, water supply, employment, per capita income , and urbanization be linked to fertility control. It also highlighted the need for the creation of an extensive data base and a comprehensive health information system.
The Government reviewed the policy and laid down these guidelines for future implementation.
The concern of the Government to control population growth deserves appreciation. Its concerted efforts were responsible for reducing the population growth to some extent. Perhaps, the population of today would have exceeded that of China. The Government has created the infrastructure for family planning and set up institutions for training and research. Thanks to its efforts, the whole country today is aware of family planning. There has been an appreciable fall in the birth rate also. The new National Population Policy of 1976 is a comprehensive statement and it integrates all the essential aspects of population growth. As J.R.Rele and Asha Bhende observed, "it was probably for the first time that any country in the World has made a population policy statement which was fairly comprehensive."
The shift in the policy towards an integrated approach is also appreciable. The dramatic solutions offered by the new policy are in the right direction. The policy has evoked the support of intellectuals, demographers and politicians all over the country. However, the policy has slipped somewhere. Its impact on the ultimate objective of reducing the birth rate has been rather insignificant which only shows the limited effect of the family planning programme. The programme has not received whole-hearted community support and participation. Poverty and illiteracy have neutralized the measures of the Government. The eluding issues have not been taken up for research.
Another failure is that the family planning programme has been made an appendage of the health programme. The bureaucratic influence and non-recognition to technocrats in the implementation of the policy has been another adverse factor in this regard. The progress of India hinges on a controlled growth of population and if the growth of economy is not to be curtailed, the only solution lies in the effective implementation of the population policy in the near future.